Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000281 0.000314 0.000349 0.000390 0.000435 0.000484 0.000540
2025-05-11 0.000235 0.000280 0.000331 0.000393 0.000466 0.000549 0.000652
2025-05-18 0.000198 0.000249 0.000310 0.000387 0.000484 0.000601 0.000751
2025-05-25 0.000173 0.000229 0.000298 0.000391 0.000511 0.000663 0.000868
2025-06-01 0.000151 0.000209 0.000283 0.000387 0.000528 0.000713 0.000972
2025-06-08 0.000134 0.000193 0.000272 0.000386 0.000546 0.000764 0.001082
2025-06-15 0.000121 0.000180 0.000263 0.000387 0.000567 0.000819 0.001200
2025-06-22 0.000109 0.000167 0.000252 0.000383 0.000580 0.000864 0.001306
2025-06-29 0.000101 0.000161 0.000250 0.000391 0.000609 0.000934 0.001452
2025-07-06 0.000093 0.000153 0.000244 0.000393 0.000631 0.000993 0.001587
2025-07-13 0.000085 0.000144 0.000236 0.000391 0.000643 0.001038 0.001703
2025-07-20 0.000081 0.000140 0.000236 0.000401 0.000676 0.001117 0.001877
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000135 0.000232 0.000405 0.000701 0.001186 0.002042
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000129 0.000229 0.000409 0.000725 0.001256 0.002215
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000122 0.000221 0.000404 0.000734 0.001302 0.002348
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000117 0.000218 0.000408 0.000758 0.001373 0.002532
2025-08-24 0.000056 0.000111 0.000211 0.000405 0.000769 0.001423 0.002680
2025-08-31 0.000053 0.000106 0.000206 0.000403 0.000783 0.001478 0.002841
2025-09-07 0.000049 0.000102 0.000202 0.000405 0.000802 0.001543 0.003025
2025-09-14 0.000046 0.000097 0.000196 0.000401 0.000811 0.001590 0.003179
2025-09-21 0.000044 0.000095 0.000196 0.000409 0.000843 0.001683 0.003427
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000092 0.000194 0.000412 0.000865 0.001758 0.003645
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000088 0.000189 0.000409 0.000875 0.001810 0.003821